Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.247991 0.291554 0.343361 0.410334 0.495839 0.603063 0.750513
2024-12-29 0.187196 0.241137 0.314025 0.423188 0.589118 0.844185 1.294143
2025-01-05 0.146576 0.200519 0.280004 0.412363 0.642607 1.062760 2.000294
2025-01-12 0.124227 0.178177 0.263408 0.418595 0.723069 1.378378 3.261553
2025-01-19 0.106689 0.158524 0.244867 0.413557 0.779249 1.690657 5.061332
2025-01-26 0.095796 0.146992 0.236553 0.423716 0.871955 2.178571 8.738250
2025-02-02 0.088046 0.139109 0.232568 0.440788 0.991346 2.888411 16.822149
2025-02-09 0.081120 0.131376 0.226991 0.452376 1.105087 3.758838 34.413412
2025-02-16 0.075609 0.125275 0.223246 0.466991 1.239837 4.993466 85.042913
2025-02-23 0.070411 0.118951 0.217728 0.475449 1.363339 6.505901 255.559175
2025-03-02 0.065603 0.112701 0.211172 0.479185 1.475823 8.352289 1140.907331
2025-03-09 0.061083 0.106437 0.203482 0.477509 1.568928 10.491725 13678.720828
2025-03-16 0.056427 0.099465 0.193319 0.466567 1.620720 12.647747 NaN
2025-03-23 0.053785 0.096374 0.191802 0.482268 1.822309 18.359543 NaN
2025-03-30 0.049963 0.090366 0.182312 0.469535 1.866817 22.280117 NaN
2025-04-06 0.047525 0.087071 0.179032 0.476987 2.042361 31.954151 NaN
2025-04-13 0.044739 0.082726 0.172447 0.471010 2.133096 41.882739 NaN
2025-04-20 0.042969 0.080451 0.170877 0.483099 2.370859 67.171649 NaN
2025-04-27 0.041641 0.079028 0.171342 0.503445 2.712805 127.549117 NaN
2025-05-04 0.040167 0.077119 0.170193 0.517284 3.036359 252.352712 NaN
2025-05-11 0.038907 0.075581 0.169853 0.534765 3.444087 633.691768 NaN
2025-05-18 0.037512 0.073588 0.167923 0.544897 3.811979 1857.766363 NaN
2025-05-25 0.036063 0.071336 0.164927 0.549377 4.139724 7404.283742 NaN